# aerology.ai

> Trip-level flight disruption forecasting: departure and arrival delay
> distributions, missed-connection risk, and cancellation probability for
> itineraries of one to three legs.

## What this is

Disruption forecasting for air itineraries, evaluated as a **trip** rather than
as independent flights. A trip is one to three legs — nonstop, one connection,
or two.

For each leg we forecast **departure delay** and **arrival delay** as
distributions rather than point estimates, together with the probability the
flight does not operate at all. Composing those across legs is what produces the
trip-level answers: whether each connection holds, the chance of missing one, and
how late the final arrival is likely to be.

Everything is probabilistic. A forecast here is a distribution over outcomes, not
a single predicted time.

## Coverage and refresh

Any flight with a US origin or destination — US domestic, plus international
routes with one US endpoint. Flights between two non-US airports are out of
scope.

Predictions refresh about every five minutes. A trip enters the forecast window
roughly 24 hours before scheduled departure; there is no forecast earlier than
that.

## The live sample on the marketing site

aerology.ai renders current predictions as an illustration. It is deliberately
coarse, carries no schema stability and no availability guarantee, and is **not a
data feed** — please do not build against it.

This file is the intended discovery surface. There is nothing to be gained by
crawling the site.

## Programmatic access

Not yet available. A programmatic interface is planned, on its own hostname.

**Automated callers are the expected audience, not an abuse case.** Access will
be metered per key rather than gated behind bot detection.

There is no signup endpoint yet. To join the waitlist, write to waitlist@aerology.ai.

## Terms

Not a booking, pricing, or safety-of-flight recommendation. Forecasts are
probabilistic and can be wrong.

## Contact

agents@aerology.ai